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Local labels.
How much should the model change?

Comparing threshold adjustment, model selection, classifier refitting and full-network fine-tuning under matched local-label budgets.

Public imaging sources
5
Images across sources
21,148
Main label budgets
200–1,000

The question.

When an imaging model loses performance in a new setting, hospitals can change its threshold, select another source model or update the model itself. How much performance does each strategy recover from the same number of local labels?

Compare four strategies.
Match the label budget.

The study examined reciprocal wrist-fracture transfer between pediatric and mixed-age sources, with three additional fracture-imaging sources. Four strategies were compared under matched local-label budgets from 200 to 1,000, with a 2,000-label extension.

Evaluation separated ranking performance, development-selected operating cutoffs and a simulation of limited additional-review capacity. Age-specific analysis examined which patients were selected.

Study design at a glance

  1. 01

    Transfer

    Models across public radiograph sources

  2. 02

    Allocate labels

    Matched total local-label budgets

  3. 03

    Adapt

    Compare four updating strategies

  4. 04

    Evaluate

    Performance, alerts and simulated coverage

Study findings

Recovering overall performance
is not the whole story.

Explore ranking, simulated review yield and the patients covered by that yield.

Classifier refitting27.9%
Full-network fine-tuning10.3%

Pediatric false-positive rate at 85% empirical evaluation sensitivity (FPR85), with 400 local labels. Lower is better.

Fine-tuning minus refitting: −17.6 percentage points; 99.1667% family-adjusted confidence interval −26.7 to −8.6. Across 200–1,000 labels, pediatric incremental reductions were 13.5–20.9 points.

The operating choice
still matters.

At development-selected cutoffs in the pediatric receiving cohort, fine-tuning produced 106 fewer false alerts and 12 fewer fracture-positive detections than refitting. This trade-off is distinct from the gain measured at matched sensitivity.

Local updating improved overall ranking and simulated review yield, but aggregate recovery could conceal lower coverage of younger children. A useful local evaluation needs both the overall result and the distribution of who benefits.

Manuscript

Submitted

Recovering Imaging-AI Performance with Limited Local Labels

Zheyuan Zhang, MSc · Sole author · PhyZio, Oxford, UK

NEJM AI

Study conception, methodology, analysis and manuscript preparation.

Submitted to NEJM AI. Status updated 29 October 2026.

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